Both teams to score
Yes55%
ours 1.83
No45%
ours 2.20
All matches
—
Astana — Kaisar Kyzylorda, Kazakhstan Premier League
Kazakhstan, Kazakhstan Premier League
Astana
3.1WLWWD
Kaisar Kyzylorda
1.3DWLLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
73%19%
Astana73%Draw19%Kaisar Kyzylorda9%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Astana1.38—
XDraw5.32—
2Kaisar Kyzylorda11.56—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricAstanaKaisar KyzylordaCombined
Goals scored0.830.671.50
Conceded0.171.001.17
Corners11.710.010.8
Cards2.02.54.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
AstanaKaisar Kyzylorda
FK Astana 73%, FK Kaisar Kyzylorda 9%. The safest is “FK Astana or draw” at 86%.
FK Astana 73%Draw 19%FK Kaisar Kyzylorda 9%
1st half
50 · 33 · 17
2nd half
41 · 39 · 20
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Second half total: Over 0.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Astana
- homeKairat1:0
- awayOrdabasy0:1
- homeYelimay4:0
- awayAtyrau3:2
- awayKyzyl-Zhar Petropavlovsk1:1
Kaisar Kyzylorda
- awayKyzyl-Zhar Petropavlovsk1:1
- homeAtyrau1:0
- awayAltay0:2
- homeOkzhetpes Kokshetau2:3
- awayTobol2:3
Head to head
- 03/16/26Kazakhstan Premier League0:0
- 08/28/25Kazakhstan Premier League5:1
- 05/04/25Kazakhstan Premier League1:1
- 09/18/24Kazakhstan Premier League1:0
- 05/12/24Kazakhstan Premier League1:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
Ordabasy26194351:1861
Ordabasy26194351:18612
Kairat26176351:2057
Kairat26176351:20573Astana25146542:2548
Astana25146542:25484
Okzhetpes Kokshetau26136741:3545
Okzhetpes Kokshetau26136741:35455
Aktobe26126838:3142
Aktobe26126838:31426
Yelimay25108735:3338
Yelimay25108735:33387
Tobol261041233:3534
Tobol261041233:35348
Zhenys26881026:3232
Zhenys26881026:32329
Ulytau Zhezkazgan26881024:3232
Ulytau Zhezkazgan26881024:323210
Caspiy26851327:3629
Caspiy26851327:362911
Irtysh Pavlodar25681126:3426
Irtysh Pavlodar25681126:342612
Kyzyl-Zhar Petropavlovsk26671328:3925
Kyzyl-Zhar Petropavlovsk26671328:392513Kaisar Kyzylorda264121022:3324
Kaisar Kyzylorda264121022:332414
Atyrau254111018:2823
Atyrau254111018:282315
Altay26581325:3823
Altay26581325:3823Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.