All matches

Trencin — Dukla Banska Bystrica, Super Liga

Slovakia, Super Liga

Trencin
1.4LLLWL
—
Dukla Banska Bystrica
0.9LWLDW
Outcome probability
522424
Trencin52%Draw24%Dukla Banska Bystrica24%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Trencin52%51%1.921.97+1.3
XDraw24%24%4.094.21+0.6
2Dukla Banska Bystrica24%30%4.243.29-6.9

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes57%

ours 1.75book 1.49

No43%

ours 2.33book 2.44

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricTrencinDukla Banska BystricaCombined
Goals scored1.001.502.50
Conceded2.672.004.67
Corners10.810.210.5
Cards1.21.72.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

TrencinDukla Banska Bystrica

FK AS Trenčín 52%, MFK Dukla Banská Bystrica 24%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.

FK AS Trenčín 52%Draw 24%MFK Dukla Banská Bystrica 24%
1st half
36 · 39 · 25
2nd half
37 · 37 · 25

Bookmakers: 1.97 · 4.21 · 3.29

Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Double chance: Home or draw

71%1.28
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

Trencin

  • awayZilina1:2
  • homeDAC Dunajska Streda1:4
  • awayZemplin Michalovce1:3
  • homeRuzomberok2:1
  • homeSpartak Trnava0:4

Dukla Banska Bystrica

  • awayZemplin Michalovce0:1
  • homeSkalica3:2
  • awayKosice0:3
  • homeKFC Komarno2:2
  • awayRuzomberok1:0

Head to head

  • 04/25/25Super Liga2:2
  • 03/29/25Super Liga3:2
  • 11/23/24Super Liga1:6
  • 08/17/24Super Liga2:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7Kosice833221:1812
8Skalica922511:198
9Dukla Banska Bystrica92169:217
10KFC Komarno90548:145
11Trencin812510:205
12Ruzomberok91268:185

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.