Both teams to score
Yes55%
ours 1.81
No45%
ours 2.23
All matches
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FK Andijan — Qizilqum Zarafshon PFK, Uzbekistan Super League
Uzbekistan, Uzbekistan Super League
FK Andijan
LWLWW
Qizilqum Zarafshon PFK
WLWWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
48%25%26%
FK Andijan48%Draw25%Qizilqum Zarafshon PFK26%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1FK Andijan2.08—
XDraw3.92—
2Qizilqum Zarafshon PFK3.78—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricFK AndijanQizilqum Zarafshon PFKCombined
Goals scored0.831.332.16
Conceded1.331.002.33
Corners8.67.88.2
Cards2.01.43.4
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
FK AndijanQizilqum Zarafshon PFK
FK Andijan 48%, Qizilqum Zarafshon PFK 26%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.
FK Andijan 48%Draw 25%Qizilqum Zarafshon PFK 26%
1st half
38 · 42 · 21
2nd half
42 · 33 · 25
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 9.5
70%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
FK Andijan
- homeFC Nasaf Qarshi1:4
- homeFK Qo'qon 19122:1
- awayFK Pakhtakor Tashkent0:3
- homeXorazm FK Urganch1:0
- awayMash'al Mubarek1:0
Qizilqum Zarafshon PFK
- awayXorazm FK Urganch3:1
- awayPFK Dinamo Samarqand0:1
- homeBuxoro FK3:2
- homeFC Nasaf Qarshi1:0
- awayFK Sogdiana Jizak1:2
Head to head
- 03/04/26Uzbekistan Super League1:2
- 11/09/25Uzbekistan Super League1:2
- 06/19/25Uzbekistan Super League1:1
- 11/10/24Uzbekistan Super League0:0
- 06/15/24Uzbekistan Super League3:3
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7
Buxoro FK22104832:2934
Buxoro FK22104832:29348
PFK Dinamo Samarqand2286833:3430
PFK Dinamo Samarqand2286833:34309FK Andijan22931027:2830
FK Andijan22931027:283010Qizilqum Zarafshon PFK22921123:3029
Qizilqum Zarafshon PFK22921123:302911
FK Sogdiana Jizak22841038:4328
FK Sogdiana Jizak22841038:432812
Termez Surkhon22751019:2826
Termez Surkhon22751019:2826Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.