All matches

FK Andijan — FK Lokomotiv Tashkent, Uzbekistan Super League

Uzbekistan, Uzbekistan Super League

FK Andijan
LWLWW
—
FK Lokomotiv Tashkent
LWDWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
38%27%35%
FK Andijan38%Draw27%FK Lokomotiv Tashkent35%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1FK Andijan38%2.62—
XDraw27%3.75—
2FK Lokomotiv Tashkent35%2.84—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes56%

ours 1.78

No44%

ours 2.28

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricFK AndijanFK Lokomotiv TashkentCombined
Goals scored0.500.501.00
Conceded0.830.171.00
Corners8.09.58.8
Cards3.01.04.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Confident answers

The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 878 matches

Corners

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70%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 877 matches

Cards

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68%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 874 matches

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

FK AndijanFK Lokomotiv Tashkent

FK Andijan 38%, FK Lokomotiv Tashkent 35%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.

FK Andijan 38%Draw 27%FK Lokomotiv Tashkent 35%
1st half
26 · 48 · 26
2nd half
32 · 31 · 37
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Under 10.5

70%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

FK Andijan

  • homeFC Nasaf Qarshi1:4
  • homeFK Qo'qon 19122:1
  • awayFK Pakhtakor Tashkent0:3
  • homeXorazm FK Urganch1:0
  • awayMash'al Mubarek1:0

FK Lokomotiv Tashkent

  • homeNeftchi Fargona0:1
  • homeMash'al Mubarek3:0
  • awayFK Navbahor Namangan1:1
  • homeFK Bunyodkor4:1
  • awayXorazm FK Urganch3:1

Head to head

  • 07/22/26Uzbekistan Super League3:3
  • 09/15/24Uzbekistan Super League1:2
  • 04/04/24Uzbekistan Super League2:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2FK Pakhtakor Tashkent22147139:2049
3FK Navbahor Namangan22135439:2144
4FK Lokomotiv Tashkent22105736:2835
5FK AGMK22105731:2935
6FC Nasaf Qarshi2297633:2134
7Buxoro FK22104832:2934
8PFK Dinamo Samarqand2286833:3430
9FK Andijan22931027:2830
10Qizilqum Zarafshon PFK22921123:3029
11FK Sogdiana Jizak22841038:4328

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.