Both teams to score
Yes52%
ours 1.93
No48%
ours 2.07
All matches
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FK AGMK — FK Navbahor Namangan, Uzbekistan Super League
Uzbekistan, Uzbekistan Super League
FK AGMK
WLWDL
FK Navbahor Namangan
WWDWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
34%27%39%
FK AGMK34%Draw27%FK Navbahor Namangan39%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1FK AGMK2.96—
XDraw3.67—
2FK Navbahor Namangan2.56—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricFK AGMKFK Navbahor NamanganCombined
Goals scored0.672.503.17
Conceded1.171.172.34
Corners10.39.39.8
Cards1.71.83.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 878 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 877 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up68%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 874 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
FK AGMKFK Navbahor Namangan
FK AGMK 34%, FK Navbahor Namangan 39%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.
FK AGMK 34%Draw 27%FK Navbahor Namangan 39%
1st half
22 · 42 · 36
2nd half
30 · 39 · 31
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Double chance: Away or draw
69%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
FK AGMK
- awayFK Sogdiana Jizak2:1
- homeFK Pakhtakor Tashkent1:3
- homeXorazm FK Urganch1:0
- awayTermez Surkhon0:0
- homePFK Dinamo Samarqand0:1
FK Navbahor Namangan
- homePFK Dinamo Samarqand3:2
- awayBuxoro FK4:1
- homeFK Lokomotiv Tashkent1:1
- awayMash'al Mubarek2:0
- homeFC Nasaf Qarshi1:0
Head to head
- 07/17/26Uzbekistan Super League3:2
- 11/07/25Uzbekistan Super League3:1
- 06/21/25Uzbekistan Super League0:3
- 08/12/24Uzbekistan Super League2:1
- 03/09/24Uzbekistan Super League1:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
Neftchi Fargona23164352:1952
Neftchi Fargona23164352:19522
FK Pakhtakor Tashkent22147139:2049
FK Pakhtakor Tashkent22147139:20493FK Navbahor Namangan22135439:2144
FK Navbahor Namangan22135439:21444
FK Lokomotiv Tashkent22105736:2835
FK Lokomotiv Tashkent22105736:28355FK AGMK22105731:2935
FK AGMK22105731:29356
FC Nasaf Qarshi2297633:2134
FC Nasaf Qarshi2297633:21347
Buxoro FK22104832:2934
Buxoro FK22104832:2934Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.