All matches

First Vienna — Floridsdorfer AC, 2. Liga

Austria, 2. Liga

First Vienna
WWWWD
—
Floridsdorfer AC
WLWWD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
38%30%32%
First Vienna38%Draw30%Floridsdorfer AC32%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1First Vienna38%2.66—
XDraw30%3.29—
2Floridsdorfer AC32%3.13—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes41%

ours 2.42

No59%

ours 1.70

Over 2.5 goals

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

Over 9.5 corners

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

Combos

Three kinds of combos — the most likely combination in each. The most likely of the three is highlighted. Every combination is in the tables below.

Combos come with a subscription: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.

Sign up

Confident answers

The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches

Corners

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches

Cards

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

First ViennaFloridsdorfer AC

First Vienna FC 1894 38%, Floridsdorfer AC 32%. The safest is “No draw” at 70%.

First Vienna FC 1894 38%Draw 30%Floridsdorfer AC 32%
1st half
29 · 46 · 25
2nd half
29 · 45 · 26
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Second half total: Under 1.5

70%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricFirst ViennaFloridsdorfer ACCombined
Goals scored1.171.332.50
Conceded0.170.670.84
Corners11.310.811.0
Cards1.83.35.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Form and context

First Vienna

  • awayWels3:1
  • awayRapid Wien II2:0
  • homeAmstetten1:0
  • awayAdmira Wacker1:0
  • homeLiefering2:2

Floridsdorfer AC

  • homeLiefering4:0
  • awaySchwarz-Weiss Bregenz0:4
  • homeWacker Innsbruck2:0
  • awayRapid Wien II2:0
  • homeAmstetten2:2

Head to head

  • 04/06/262. Liga1:0
  • 10/03/252. Liga0:2
  • 03/09/252. Liga1:2
  • 08/23/242. Liga0:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1FC Blau-Weiß Linz760120:418
2First Vienna751114:716
3Floridsdorfer AC741213:1013
4Amstetten733114:1112
5Austria Wien II740313:1112

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.