All matches

Feyenoord — Inter Milan, UEFA Champions League

Europe, UEFA Champions League

Feyenoord
3.0WWLWD
—
Inter Milan
3.9DWLWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
30%24%46%
Feyenoord30%Draw24%Inter Milan46%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Feyenoord30%3.37—
XDraw24%4.18—
2Inter Milan46%2.15—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes64%

ours 1.57

No36%

ours 2.75

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricFeyenoordInter MilanCombined
Goals scored0.000.000.00
Conceded0.000.000.00
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

FeyenoordInter Milan

Feyenoord Rotterdam 30%, FC Internazionale Milano 46%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.

Feyenoord Rotterdam 30%Draw 24%FC Internazionale Milano 46%
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Double chance: Away or draw

70%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

Feyenoord

  • homeUtrecht5:0
  • awayPEC Zwolle7:0
  • awayBarcelona1:5
  • awayNEC Nijmegen3:1
  • homeADO Den Haag2:2

Inter Milan

  • awayRoma2:2
  • homeUdinese5:3
  • awayReal Madrid1:2
  • homeNapoli3:2
  • awayCagliari1:0

Head to head

  • 03/11/25UEFA Champions League1:2
  • 03/05/25UEFA Champions League0:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
67Villarreal10012:30
68Club Brugge10012:30
69Inter Milan10011:20
70Atletico Madrid10011:20
71Napoli10010:10
72Atert Bissen20022:40
73Galatasaray10011:30
74Tre Fiori20021:30
75Porto10010:20
76TNS20021:40
77Sutjeska20021:40
78RB Leipzig10011:40
79Feyenoord10011:50
80Vitebsk20021:50
81Hearts20020:60

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.