All matches

Zbrojovka Brno — Jablonec, First League

Czech Republic, First League

Zbrojovka Brno
2.0LWLWW
—
Jablonec
2.5DLWLD
Outcome probability
402733
Zbrojovka Brno40%Draw27%Jablonec33%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Zbrojovka Brno40%41%2.532.44-1.5
XDraw27%30%3.653.38-2.2
2Jablonec33%38%3.022.63-5.0

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes49%

ours 2.03book 1.65

No51%

ours 1.97book 2.11

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricZbrojovka BrnoJablonecCombined
Goals scored1.331.002.33
Conceded1.501.332.83
Corners8.29.89.0
Cards1.21.32.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Zbrojovka BrnoJablonec

FC Zbrojovka Brno 40%, FK Jablonec 33%. The safest is “No draw” at 70%.

FC Zbrojovka Brno 40%Draw 27%FK Jablonec 33%
1st half
28 · 47 · 25
2nd half
30 · 37 · 33

Bookmakers: 2.44 · 3.38 · 2.63

Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Double chance: No draw

70%1.27
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Zbrojovka Brno

  • awayMlada Boleslav0:2
  • homeLisen2:1
  • awaySlavia Prague0:4
  • homeHradec Kralove1:0
  • homeFASTAV Zlin3:2

Jablonec

  • homeFASTAV Zlin1:1
  • awaySparta Prague0:2
  • homeBanik Ostrava3:0
  • homeSlovan Liberec1:2
  • awayBohemians 19051:1

Head to head

No head-to-head matches on record.

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Sigma Olomouc951316:1316
5Teplice951317:1516
6Zbrojovka Brno951312:1216
7Sparta Prague950418:1215
8Jablonec942311:914
9Hradec Kralove94238:914
10Viktoria Plzen924317:1710

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.