Both teams to score
Yes59%
ours 1.69
No41%
ours 2.44
All matches
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FC Wil 1900 — FC Winterthur, Challenge League
Switzerland, Challenge League
FC Wil 1900
WLDDD
FC Winterthur
0.7WWWDD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
27%24%49%
FC Wil 190027%Draw24%FC Winterthur49%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1FC Wil 19003.67—
XDraw4.17—
2FC Winterthur2.05—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricFC Wil 1900FC WinterthurCombined
Goals scored1.331.502.83
Conceded1.170.501.67
Corners9.510.39.9
Cards1.52.03.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
FC Wil 1900FC Winterthur
FC Wil 1900 27%, FC Winterthur 49%. The safest is “FC Winterthur or draw” at 81%.
FC Wil 1900 27%Draw 24%FC Winterthur 49%
1st half
27 · 36 · 37
2nd half
21 · 35 · 44
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Over 7.5
70%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
FC Wil 1900
- homeFC Stade Nyonnais5:0
- awayFC Stade Lausanne-Ouchy0:4
- awayÉtoile Carouge FC1:1
- homeFC Aarau2:2
- awayYverdon Sport FC1:1
FC Winterthur
- homeFC Aarau2:1
- awayÉtoile Carouge FC1:0
- homeNeuchâtel Xamax FCS4:0
- awayFC Stade Nyonnais2:2
- homeFC Stade Lausanne-Ouchy1:1
Head to head
- 08/07/26Challenge League0:5
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
FC Stade Lausanne-Ouchy963017:321
FC Stade Lausanne-Ouchy963017:3212FC Winterthur953119:818
FC Winterthur953119:8183
Yverdon Sport FC944114:916
Yverdon Sport FC944114:9164
SC Kriens942316:1114
SC Kriens942316:11145
FC Aarau933314:1612
FC Aarau933314:16126
Neuchâtel Xamax FCS940512:1712
Neuchâtel Xamax FCS940512:17127
FC Rapperswil-Jona931515:1610
FC Rapperswil-Jona931515:16108
Étoile Carouge FC92348:129
Étoile Carouge FC92348:1299FC Wil 1900923415:219
FC Wil 1900923415:21910
FC Stade Nyonnais90276:232
FC Stade Nyonnais90276:232Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.