Both teams to score
Yes55%
ours 1.81
No45%
ours 2.23
All matches
—
Vizela — Academica, LigaPro
Portugal, LigaPro
Vizela
2.5DWWDL
Academica
1.9LLLWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
46%25%29%
Vizela46%Draw25%Academica29%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Vizela2.17—
XDraw4.00—
2Academica3.45—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricVizelaAcademicaCombined
Goals scored1.000.501.50
Conceded0.331.501.83
Corners9.58.59.0
Cards3.33.87.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
VizelaAcademica
FC Vizela 46%, Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF 29%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.
FC Vizela 46%Draw 25%Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF 29%
1st half
39 · 38 · 24
2nd half
33 · 38 · 29
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Double chance: Home or draw
70%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Vizela
- awayPorto II2:2
- homeFelgueiras1:0
- awayTorreense3:0
- homeAmarante0:0
- awayPortimonense0:2
Academica
- homeBenfica II0:3
- awayPenafiel1:4
- homeLusitania Lourosa0:2
- awayTondela2:0
- homeFeirense1:0
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3
Sporting II64028:612
Sporting II64028:6124
Farense632111:511
Farense632111:5115Vizela63217:411
Vizela63217:4116
Leiria631210:710
Leiria631210:7107
Leixoes63128:610
Leixoes63128:6108
Benfica II63127:510
Benfica II63127:5109
Tondela63037:69
Tondela63037:6910Academica63038:109
Academica63038:10911
Portimonense62134:67
Portimonense62134:6712
AVS61326:66
AVS61326:66Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.