Both teams to score
Yes49%
ours 2.06
No51%
ours 1.95
All matches
—
Viktoria Plzen — Levski Sofia, UEFA Europa League
Europe, UEFA Europa League
Viktoria Plzen
3.0LLLDW
Levski Sofia
3.8LDWWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
63%22%15%
Viktoria Plzen63%Draw22%Levski Sofia15%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Viktoria Plzen1.59—
XDraw4.50—
2Levski Sofia6.78—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricViktoria PlzenLevski SofiaCombined
Goals scored0.500.170.67
Conceded1.330.171.50
Corners11.09.710.3
Cards2.01.03.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Viktoria PlzenLevski Sofia
FC Viktoria Plzeň 63%, PFC Levski Sofia 15%. The safest is “FC Viktoria Plzeň or draw” at 85%.
FC Viktoria Plzeň 63%Draw 22%PFC Levski Sofia 15%
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Under 3.5
70%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Viktoria Plzen
- awaySlavia Prague1:2
- homeUnion Saint-Gilloise0:3
- homeSigma Olomouc2:3
- awayHradec Kralove0:0
- awayLisen3:0
Levski Sofia
- homeSalzburg0:1
- awayBotev Vratsa0:0
- homeCSKA 19481:0
- awaySlavia Sofia2:1
- awayBotev Plovdiv3:1
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
35
Sint-Truiden21013:43
Sint-Truiden21013:4336
Zilina21012:33
Zilina21012:3337Viktoria Plzen31025:73
Viktoria Plzen31025:7338
Shamrock Rovers21014:63
Shamrock Rovers21014:6339
Vikingur Reykjavik21013:53
Vikingur Reykjavik21013:5340
Kauno Zalgiris21011:33
Kauno Zalgiris21011:3341
St. Gallen21012:63
St. Gallen21012:6342
U Cluj20200:02
U Cluj20200:0243
Dynamo Kyiv40222:52
Dynamo Kyiv40222:5244
Hapoel Be'er Sheva10100:01
Hapoel Be'er Sheva10100:0145
Sturm Graz10100:01
Sturm Graz10100:0146
Rennes10100:01
Rennes10100:0147
Dinamo Zagreb10100:01
Dinamo Zagreb10100:0148
Twente20113:41
Twente20113:4149
KuPS20112:31
KuPS20112:3150
Rangers20112:31
Rangers20112:3151
Lincoln Red Imps20111:21
Lincoln Red Imps20111:2152
Larne20111:21
Larne20111:2153
Gornik Zabrze20111:21
Gornik Zabrze20111:2154
Aluminij20110:11
Aluminij20110:1155
Hammarby20112:41
Hammarby20112:4156
Hearts20112:71
Hearts20112:7157
Real Sociedad10011:20
Real Sociedad10011:2058Levski Sofia10010:10
Levski Sofia10010:1059
AZ Alkmaar10010:10
AZ Alkmaar10010:1060
Celta Vigo10010:10
Celta Vigo10010:10Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.