All matches

U Cluj — Rapid Bucuresti, Liga I

Romania, Liga I

U Cluj
2.7WWLLL
—
Rapid Bucuresti
2.5WWWDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
48%26%26%
U ClujMarket 2.5348%DrawMarket 3.1026%Rapid BucurestiMarket 2.7226%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1U Cluj48%40%2.082.53+8.6
XDraw26%32%3.863.10-6.4
2Rapid Bucuresti26%37%3.852.72-10.8

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes58%

ours 1.72book 1.87

No42%

ours 2.38book 1.83

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricU ClujRapid BucurestiCombined
Goals scored1.331.502.83
Conceded1.500.672.17
Corners10.49.29.8
Cards2.21.84.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

U ClujRapid Bucuresti

FC Universitatea Cluj 48%, FC Rapid Bucureşti 26%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.

FC Universitatea Cluj 48%Draw 26%FC Rapid Bucureşti 26%
1st half
36 · 39 · 25
2nd half
35 · 38 · 27

Bookmakers: 2.53 · 3.10 · 2.72

Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total goals: Under 3.5

68%1.18
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

U Cluj

  • awayVoluntari2:0
  • homeOtelul Galati3:0
  • awayUniversitatea Craiova0:4
  • homeACS Petrolul 52 Ploiesti2:3
  • awayDinamo Bucharest1:2

Rapid Bucuresti

  • homeArges Pitesti3:1
  • homeVoluntari2:1
  • awayOtelul Galati1:0
  • homeUniversitatea Craiova1:1
  • awayACS Petrolul 52 Ploiesti2:0

Head to head

  • 05/09/26Liga I1:0
  • 04/05/26Liga I2:1
  • 01/31/26Liga I2:0
  • 09/12/25Liga I0:0
  • 05/24/25Liga I2:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Dinamo Bucharest1072123:723
2Rapid Bucuresti1063114:621
3Universitatea Craiova1062224:920
4ACS Petrolul 52 Ploiesti1061313:1219
5U Cluj950414:1315
6Farul Constanta1035214:1414
7Corvinul1034311:913

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.