Both teams to score
Yes55%
ours 1.82
No45%
ours 2.22
All matches
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FC Südtirol — Ascoli Picchio FC 1898, Serie B
Italy, Serie B
FC Südtirol
WDWDW
Ascoli Picchio FC 1898
WLWDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
38%28%33%
FC Südtirol38%Draw28%Ascoli Picchio FC 189833%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1FC Südtirol2.62—
XDraw3.53—
2Ascoli Picchio FC 18982.99—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricFC SüdtirolAscoli Picchio FC 1898Combined
Goals scored1.501.402.90
Conceded0.500.801.30
Corners10.011.410.7
Cards1.82.64.4
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
FC SüdtirolAscoli Picchio FC 1898
FC Südtirol 38%, Ascoli Picchio FC 1898 33%. The safest is “No draw” at 73%.
FC Südtirol 38%Draw 28%Ascoli Picchio FC 1898 33%
1st half
35 · 41 · 24
2nd half
21 · 38 · 41
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Over 1.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
FC Südtirol
- awayUnione Sportiva Arezzo4:1
- homeModena FC1:1
- homeCatanzaro Calcio 20112:0
- awayBenevento Calcio1:1
- homeACD Virtus Entella1:0
Ascoli Picchio FC 1898
- homeUS Avellino3:1
- awayCalcio Padova Spa0:1
- homeBenevento Calcio1:0
- homeCarrarese Calcio1:1
- awayHellas Verona FC2:1
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
US Città di Palermo541010:513
US Città di Palermo541010:5132FC Südtirol53209:311
FC Südtirol53209:3113
Mantova FC532010:511
Mantova FC532010:5114
Modena FC53118:410
Modena FC53118:4105Ascoli Picchio FC 189853117:410
Ascoli Picchio FC 189853117:4106
Hellas Verona FC521210:77
Hellas Verona FC521210:777
US Avellino52127:67
US Avellino52127:67Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.