Both teams to score
Yes57%
ours 1.75
No43%
ours 2.33
All matches
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FC Stade Lausanne-Ouchy — Yverdon Sport FC, Challenge League
Switzerland, Challenge League
FC Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
DWWWD
Yverdon Sport FC
1.5DLWWD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
44%26%30%
FC Stade Lausanne-Ouchy44%Draw26%Yverdon Sport FC30%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1FC Stade Lausanne-Ouchy2.30—
XDraw3.85—
2Yverdon Sport FC3.28—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricFC Stade Lausanne-OuchyYverdon Sport FCCombined
Goals scored1.501.002.50
Conceded0.000.670.67
Corners8.08.58.3
Cards3.02.05.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
FC Stade Lausanne-OuchyYverdon Sport FC
FC Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 44%, Yverdon Sport FC 30%. The safest is “No draw” at 73%.
FC Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 44%Draw 26%Yverdon Sport FC 30%
1st half
38 · 40 · 23
2nd half
33 · 37 · 30
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 10.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
FC Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
- awayYverdon Sport FC0:0
- homeFC Wil 19004:0
- awaySC Kriens2:0
- homeÉtoile Carouge FC3:0
- awayFC Winterthur1:1
Yverdon Sport FC
- homeFC Stade Lausanne-Ouchy0:0
- awayFC Rapperswil-Jona0:2
- homeFC Stade Nyonnais4:1
- awayNeuchâtel Xamax FCS2:1
- homeFC Wil 19001:1
Head to head
- 09/20/26Challenge League0:0
- 04/26/26Challenge League0:3
- 03/08/26Challenge League2:0
- 12/13/25Challenge League4:0
- 08/03/25Challenge League2:3
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1FC Stade Lausanne-Ouchy963017:321
FC Stade Lausanne-Ouchy963017:3212
FC Winterthur953119:818
FC Winterthur953119:8183Yverdon Sport FC944114:916
Yverdon Sport FC944114:9164
SC Kriens942316:1114
SC Kriens942316:11145
FC Aarau933314:1612
FC Aarau933314:1612Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.