Both teams to score
Yes52%
ours 1.91book 1.94
No48%
ours 2.10book 1.77
All matches
—
Slovan Liberec — Slovacko, First League
Czech Republic, First League
Slovan Liberec
2.3DWWWW
Slovacko
0.9DLDDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
67%21%12%
Slovan LiberecMarket 1.4467%DrawMarket 4.2521%SlovackoMarket 6.6812%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Slovan Liberec1.501.44-2.6
XDraw4.724.25-2.3
2Slovacko8.366.68-3.0
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricSlovan LiberecSlovackoCombined
Goals scored1.500.832.33
Conceded0.331.501.83
Corners9.58.28.8
Cards2.02.24.2
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Slovan LiberecSlovacko
FC Slovan Liberec 67%, 1. FC Slovácko 12%. The safest is “FC Slovan Liberec or draw” at 85%.
FC Slovan Liberec 67%Draw 21%1. FC Slovácko 12%
1st half
45 · 39 · 16
2nd half
41 · 37 · 22
Bookmakers: 1.44 · 4.25 · 6.68
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
First half total: Under 1.5
68%1.42
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Slovan Liberec
- awayLisen0:0
- homeMlada Boleslav3:0
- awayJablonec2:1
- homeHradec Kralove2:0
- awayFASTAV Zlin1:0
Slovacko
- homeBanik Ostrava2:2
- awayBohemians 19050:2
- homePardubice0:0
- awayViktoria Plzen1:1
- awayMlada Boleslav1:2
Head to head
- 04/04/26First League2:1
- 11/01/25First League3:0
- 03/30/25First League4:0
- 10/26/24First League4:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
Slavia Prague972025:623
Slavia Prague972025:6232Slovan Liberec962113:420
Slovan Liberec962113:4203
Mlada Boleslav852117:917
Mlada Boleslav852117:9174
Sigma Olomouc951316:1316
Sigma Olomouc951316:13165
Teplice951317:1516
Teplice951317:15166
Zbrojovka Brno951312:1216
Zbrojovka Brno951312:12167
Sparta Prague950418:1215
Sparta Prague950418:12158
Jablonec942311:914
Jablonec942311:9149
Hradec Kralove94238:914
Hradec Kralove94238:91410
Viktoria Plzen924317:1710
Viktoria Plzen924317:171011
Banik Ostrava93157:1710
Banik Ostrava93157:171012
Bohemians 190582339:119
Bohemians 190582339:11913
Pardubice92259:148
Pardubice92259:14814
Lisen91267:185
Lisen91267:18515Slovacko90457:164
Slovacko90457:16416
FASTAV Zlin90188:191
FASTAV Zlin90188:191Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.