All matches

Sireti — CSM Politehnica Iasi, Moldovan National Division

Moldova, Moldovan National Division

Sireti
1.5LLLDD
—
CSM Politehnica Iasi
1.0LLWDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
39%28%33%
Sireti39%Draw28%CSM Politehnica Iasi33%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Sireti39%2.55—
XDraw28%3.55—
2CSM Politehnica Iasi33%3.06—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes56%

ours 1.80

No44%

ours 2.25

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricSiretiCSM Politehnica IasiCombined
Goals scored0.330.500.83
Conceded1.000.671.67
Corners7.05.06.0
Cards0.70.00.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

SiretiCSM Politehnica Iasi

FC Sireți 39%, CSM Politehnica Iaşi 33%. The safest is “No draw” at 71%.

FC Sireți 39%Draw 28%CSM Politehnica Iaşi 33%
1st half
27 · 41 · 31
2nd half
31 · 39 · 30
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Second half total: Over 0.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Sireti

  • homeMilsami1:2
  • awayPetrocub1:2
  • homeZimbru0:2
  • awayCSM Politehnica Iasi0:0
  • homeCSCA Buiucani0:0

CSM Politehnica Iasi

  • homePetrocub0:1
  • awayZimbru1:2
  • homeCSCA Buiucani2:1
  • homeSireti0:0
  • awaySheriff0:4

Head to head

  • 08/29/26Moldovan National Division0:0
  • 07/11/26Moldovan National Division1:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4CSCA Buiucani1362517:1620
5Milsami1345413:1717
6CSM Politehnica Iasi1343618:1915
7Sireti130768:197
8CSF Balti1312109:425

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.