Both teams to score
Yes49%
ours 2.02
No51%
ours 1.98
All matches
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FC Seoul — Gangwon FC, K League 1
South Korea, K League 1
FC Seoul
LWLWW
Gangwon FC
DLDDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
48%27%25%
FC Seoul48%Draw27%Gangwon FC25%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1FC Seoul2.10—
XDraw3.64—
2Gangwon FC4.01—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricFC SeoulGangwon FCCombined
Goals scored0.670.501.17
Conceded0.670.671.34
Corners7.58.88.1
Cards0.32.02.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 878 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 877 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up68%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 874 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
FC SeoulGangwon FC
FC Seoul 48%, Gangwon FC 25%. The safest is “FC Seoul or draw” at 78%.
FC Seoul 48%Draw 27%Gangwon FC 25%
1st half
34 · 47 · 19
2nd half
40 · 41 · 19
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Over 2.5
68%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
FC Seoul
- awayPohang Steelers FC1:2
- awayJeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC2:1
- awayUlsan Hyundai Horang-i0:1
- homeIncheon United FC1:0
- awayGwangju FC5:2
Gangwon FC
- homeIncheon United FC0:0
- homeJeju United FC0:1
- awaySangju Sangmu Phoenix FC2:2
- homeJeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC1:1
- awayFC Anyang3:0
Head to head
- 07/12/26K League 10:0
- 04/25/26K League 12:1
- 10/26/25K League 14:2
- 09/13/25K League 12:3
- 06/17/25K League 11:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1FC Seoul30195656:2562
FC Seoul30195656:25622
Ulsan Hyundai Horang-i301451145:4047
Ulsan Hyundai Horang-i301451145:40473
Jeju United FC301210835:2946
Jeju United FC301210835:29464
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC301111838:2844
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC301111838:28445Gangwon FC301013736:2843
Gangwon FC301013736:28436
Daejeon Citizen FC3010101046:3740
Daejeon Citizen FC3010101046:37407
Pohang Steelers FC301171228:3440
Pohang Steelers FC301171228:3440Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.