Both teams to score
Yes56%
ours 1.78
No44%
ours 2.27
All matches
—
Residence Walferdange — Wiltz 71, National Division
Luxembourg, National Division
Residence Walferdange
2.0WWLWL
Wiltz 71
1.2LLLLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
64%20%16%
Residence Walferdange64%Draw20%Wiltz 7116%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Residence Walferdange1.55—
XDraw4.96—
2Wiltz 716.45—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricResidence WalferdangeWiltz 71Combined
Goals scored0.830.671.50
Conceded0.671.832.50
Corners10.08.09.0
Cards0.00.00.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Residence WalferdangeWiltz 71
FC Résidence Walferdange 64%, FC Wiltz 71 16%. The safest is “FC Résidence Walferdange or draw” at 84%.
FC Résidence Walferdange 64%Draw 20%FC Wiltz 71 16%
1st half
47 · 33 · 20
2nd half
44 · 36 · 19
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 10.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Residence Walferdange
- homeMondorf2:1
- awaySwift Hesperange3:0
- homeUNA Strassen0:3
- awayEtzella Ettelbruck5:0
- homeAtert Bissen1:2
Wiltz 71
- awayAtert Bissen2:4
- homeProgres Niederkorn1:2
- awayJeunesse Esch1:5
- homeDudelange1:2
- awayVictoria Rosport0:4
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6
Kaerjeng 97850323:1515
Kaerjeng 97850323:15157
Atert Bissen850318:1115
Atert Bissen850318:11158Residence Walferdange850316:1015
Residence Walferdange850316:10159
Hostert832314:1111
Hostert832314:111110
Jeunesse Esch821514:177
Jeunesse Esch821514:17711
Dudelange82158:157
Dudelange82158:15712
Rumelange82068:236
Rumelange82068:23613
Victoria Rosport812511:205
Victoria Rosport812511:20514
Etzella Ettelbruck81256:155
Etzella Ettelbruck81256:15515Wiltz 71811614:224
Wiltz 71811614:22416
Swift Hesperange80082:300
Swift Hesperange80082:300Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.