All matches

Neman Grodno — Baranovichi, Vysheyshaya Liga

Belarus, Vysheyshaya Liga

Neman Grodno
2.5WWDWW
—
Baranovichi
1.7LDWWD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
60%24%16%
Neman Grodno60%Draw24%Baranovichi16%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Neman Grodno60%1.68—
XDraw24%4.13—
2Baranovichi16%6.14—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes49%

ours 2.06

No51%

ours 1.95

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricNeman GrodnoBaranovichiCombined
Goals scored1.670.672.34
Conceded0.671.001.67
Corners8.712.010.3
Cards1.81.53.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Neman GrodnoBaranovichi

FC Neman Grodno 60%, FK Baranovichi 16%. The safest is “FC Neman Grodno or draw” at 86%.

FC Neman Grodno 60%Draw 24%FK Baranovichi 16%
1st half
43 · 38 · 19
2nd half
44 · 38 · 18
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Under 11.5

69%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Neman Grodno

  • awayIsloch2:1
  • homeTorpedo Zhodino1:0
  • awayBelshina Bobruisk2:2
  • homeSlavia-Mozyr1:0
  • awayNaftan Novopolotsk2:0

Baranovichi

  • homeGomel0:2
  • awayArsenal Dzyarzhynsk0:0
  • homeDnepr Mogilev2:1
  • awayDinamo Minsk1:0
  • homeDinamo Brest1:1

Head to head

  • 05/24/26Vysheyshaya Liga2:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Dinamo Brest23124738:2340
5Gomel23116633:1839
6Neman Grodno22114726:2037
7Vitebsk23106728:2136
8Minsk23104930:2834
9Torpedo Zhodino2276928:2927
10Slavia-Mozyr2267923:2625
11Baranovichi23671024:3825
12Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk23581024:4123
13Belshina Bobruisk22561122:3621

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.