Both teams to score
Yes52%
ours 1.91
No48%
ours 2.10
All matches
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FC Nasaf Qarshi — PFK Dinamo Samarqand, Uzbekistan Super League
Uzbekistan, Uzbekistan Super League
FC Nasaf Qarshi
WWWLL
PFK Dinamo Samarqand
LWDDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
55%24%21%
FC Nasaf Qarshi55%Draw24%PFK Dinamo Samarqand21%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1FC Nasaf Qarshi1.83—
XDraw4.16—
2PFK Dinamo Samarqand4.71—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricFC Nasaf QarshiPFK Dinamo SamarqandCombined
Goals scored2.331.333.66
Conceded1.171.172.34
Corners8.08.58.3
Cards1.81.33.2
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 878 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 877 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up68%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 874 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
FC Nasaf QarshiPFK Dinamo Samarqand
FC Nasaf Qarshi 55%, PFK Dinamo Samarqand 21%. The safest is “FC Nasaf Qarshi or draw” at 77%.
FC Nasaf Qarshi 55%Draw 24%PFK Dinamo Samarqand 21%
1st half
41 · 40 · 18
2nd half
41 · 36 · 23
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Under 3.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
FC Nasaf Qarshi
- awayFK Andijan4:1
- homeFK Bunyodkor3:0
- homeNeftchi Fargona6:2
- awayQizilqum Zarafshon PFK0:1
- awayFK Navbahor Namangan0:1
PFK Dinamo Samarqand
- awayFK Navbahor Namangan2:3
- homeQizilqum Zarafshon PFK1:0
- awayFK Qo'qon 19121:1
- homeFK Pakhtakor Tashkent1:1
- awayFK AGMK1:0
Head to head
- 03/12/26Uzbekistan Super League1:1
- 11/29/25Uzbekistan Super League0:0
- 07/06/25Uzbekistan Super League2:2
- 10/28/24Uzbekistan Super League2:1
- 05/25/24Uzbekistan Super League1:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4
FK Lokomotiv Tashkent22105736:2835
FK Lokomotiv Tashkent22105736:28355
FK AGMK22105731:2935
FK AGMK22105731:29356FC Nasaf Qarshi2297633:2134
FC Nasaf Qarshi2297633:21347
Buxoro FK22104832:2934
Buxoro FK22104832:29348PFK Dinamo Samarqand2286833:3430
PFK Dinamo Samarqand2286833:34309
FK Andijan22931027:2830
FK Andijan22931027:283010
Qizilqum Zarafshon PFK22921123:3029
Qizilqum Zarafshon PFK22921123:3029Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.