All matches

Minsk — Baranovichi, Vysheyshaya Liga

Belarus, Vysheyshaya Liga

Minsk
2.0LWWLL
—
Baranovichi
1.7LDWWD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
49%25%26%
Minsk49%Draw25%Baranovichi26%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Minsk49%2.02—
XDraw25%4.01—
2Baranovichi26%3.90—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes58%

ours 1.73

No42%

ours 2.37

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricMinskBaranovichiCombined
Goals scored0.830.501.33
Conceded0.670.501.17
Corners12.312.512.4
Cards2.32.04.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

MinskBaranovichi

FC Minsk 49%, FK Baranovichi 26%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.

FC Minsk 49%Draw 25%FK Baranovichi 26%
1st half
40 · 35 · 25
2nd half
37 · 37 · 26
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total goals: Under 3.5

67%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Minsk

  • awayBelshina Bobruisk0:2
  • homeSlavia-Mozyr1:0
  • awayNaftan Novopolotsk3:0
  • awayBATE Borisov1:2
  • homeVitebsk0:1

Baranovichi

  • homeGomel0:2
  • awayArsenal Dzyarzhynsk0:0
  • homeDnepr Mogilev2:1
  • awayDinamo Minsk1:0
  • homeDinamo Brest1:1

Head to head

  • 06/13/26Vysheyshaya Liga1:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Neman Grodno22114726:2037
7Vitebsk23106728:2136
8Minsk23104930:2834
9Torpedo Zhodino2276928:2927
10Slavia-Mozyr2267923:2625
11Baranovichi23671024:3825
12Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk23581024:4123
13Belshina Bobruisk22561122:3621

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.