All matches

Milsami — Zimbru, Moldovan National Division

Moldova, Moldovan National Division

Milsami
2.1WLWDW
—
Zimbru
2.9LWWWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
29%26%44%
Milsami29%Draw26%Zimbru44%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Milsami29%3.43—
XDraw26%3.79—
2Zimbru44%2.25—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes58%

ours 1.73

No42%

ours 2.36

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricMilsamiZimbruCombined
Goals scored1.001.672.67
Conceded0.500.501.00
Corners9.88.08.9
Cards1.20.61.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

MilsamiZimbru

FC Milsami Orhei 29%, FC Zimbru Chişinău 44%. The safest is “No draw” at 72%.

FC Milsami Orhei 29%Draw 26%FC Zimbru Chişinău 44%
1st half
32 · 41 · 26
2nd half
29 · 38 · 33
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total goals: Under 3.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Milsami

  • awaySireti2:1
  • homeSheriff0:1
  • awayCSF Balti3:1
  • awayCSCA Buiucani0:0
  • homePetrocub1:0

Zimbru

  • homeCSCA Buiucani0:1
  • homeCSM Politehnica Iasi2:1
  • awaySireti2:0
  • homeSheriff2:1
  • awayCSF Balti4:0

Head to head

  • 08/16/26Moldovan National Division2:4
  • 06/27/26Moldovan National Division0:0
  • 04/18/26Moldovan National Division1:3
  • 03/07/26Moldovan National Division0:0
  • 10/05/25Moldovan National Division0:3

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Sheriff1384132:1028
2Zimbru1382327:1226
3Petrocub1373324:1324
4CSCA Buiucani1362517:1620
5Milsami1345413:1717
6CSM Politehnica Iasi1343618:1915
7Sireti130768:197

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.