All matches

Milsami — CSM Politehnica Iasi, Moldovan National Division

Moldova, Moldovan National Division

Milsami
2.1WLWDW
—
CSM Politehnica Iasi
1.0LLWDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
59%25%16%
Milsami59%Draw25%CSM Politehnica Iasi16%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Milsami59%1.68—
XDraw25%4.06—
2CSM Politehnica Iasi16%6.29—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes58%

ours 1.73

No42%

ours 2.36

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricMilsamiCSM Politehnica IasiCombined
Goals scored1.331.502.83
Conceded1.171.332.50
Corners9.37.08.2
Cards1.00.01.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

MilsamiCSM Politehnica Iasi

FC Milsami Orhei 59%, CSM Politehnica Iaşi 16%. The safest is “FC Milsami Orhei or draw” at 82%.

FC Milsami Orhei 59%Draw 25%CSM Politehnica Iaşi 16%
1st half
43 · 36 · 21
2nd half
39 · 39 · 22
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Second half total: Over 0.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Milsami

  • awaySireti2:1
  • homeSheriff0:1
  • awayCSF Balti3:1
  • awayCSCA Buiucani0:0
  • homePetrocub1:0

CSM Politehnica Iasi

  • homePetrocub0:1
  • awayZimbru1:2
  • homeCSCA Buiucani2:1
  • homeSireti0:0
  • awaySheriff0:4

Head to head

  • 08/08/26Moldovan National Division1:1
  • 10/18/25Moldovan National Division5:0
  • 08/17/25Moldovan National Division4:1
  • 06/28/25Moldovan National Division3:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Petrocub1373324:1324
4CSCA Buiucani1362517:1620
5Milsami1345413:1717
6CSM Politehnica Iasi1343618:1915
7Sireti130768:197
8CSF Balti1312109:425

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.