Both teams to score
Yes51%
ours 1.95
No49%
ours 2.05
All matches
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FC Metz — FC Sochaux-Montbéliard, Ligue 2
France, Ligue 2
FC Metz
0.9DLWDD
FC Sochaux-Montbéliard
DWDDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
57%25%18%
FC Metz57%Draw25%FC Sochaux-Montbéliard18%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1FC Metz1.77—
XDraw4.00—
2FC Sochaux-Montbéliard5.41—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricFC MetzFC Sochaux-MontbéliardCombined
Goals scored1.330.672.00
Conceded1.000.331.33
Corners11.69.810.7
Cards1.41.42.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
FC MetzFC Sochaux-Montbéliard
FC Metz 57%, FC Sochaux-Montbéliard 18%. The safest is “FC Metz or draw” at 82%.
FC Metz 57%Draw 25%FC Sochaux-Montbéliard 18%
1st half
47 · 38 · 15
2nd half
36 · 40 · 24
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Under 4.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
FC Metz
- homeAS Saint-Étienne2:2
- awayRed Star FC 930:1
- homeRodez Aveyron Football4:1
- awayFC Annecy1:1
- homeStade Lavallois Mayenne FC1:1
FC Sochaux-Montbéliard
- awayStade Lavallois Mayenne FC1:1
- homeFC Nantes1:0
- awayPau FC1:1
- awayClermont Foot 630:0
- homeEn Avant Guingamp1:0
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3
Stade de Reims734015:913
Stade de Reims734015:9134
Montpellier HSC73316:512
Montpellier HSC73316:5125FC Metz724110:710
FC Metz724110:7106
AS Nancy-Lorraine73138:710
AS Nancy-Lorraine73138:7107
FC Annecy73139:910
FC Annecy73139:9108FC Sochaux-Montbéliard72414:510
FC Sochaux-Montbéliard72414:5109
Dijon FCO723210:109
Dijon FCO723210:10910
Pau FC72236:68
Pau FC72236:68Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.