All matches

Vitebsk — Neman Grodno, Vysheyshaya Liga

Belarus, Vysheyshaya Liga

Vitebsk
3.2WDDDW
—
Neman Grodno
2.5WWDWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
52%26%22%
Vitebsk52%Draw26%Neman Grodno22%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Vitebsk52%1.92—
XDraw26%3.82—
2Neman Grodno22%4.62—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes48%

ours 2.10

No52%

ours 1.91

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricVitebskNeman GrodnoCombined
Goals scored1.171.002.17
Conceded0.500.501.00
Corners13.08.810.9
Cards0.82.33.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

VitebskNeman Grodno

FC Maxline Vitebsk 52%, FC Neman Grodno 22%. The safest is “FC Maxline Vitebsk or draw” at 76%.

FC Maxline Vitebsk 52%Draw 26%FC Neman Grodno 22%
1st half
39 · 40 · 21
2nd half
32 · 44 · 25
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Under 10.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Vitebsk

  • homeArsenal Dzyarzhynsk5:1
  • awayDnepr Mogilev1:1
  • homeDinamo Minsk0:0
  • homeBelshina Bobruisk1:1
  • awayDinamo Brest3:1

Neman Grodno

  • awayIsloch2:1
  • homeTorpedo Zhodino1:0
  • awayBelshina Bobruisk2:2
  • homeSlavia-Mozyr1:0
  • awayNaftan Novopolotsk2:0

Head to head

  • 05/30/26Vysheyshaya Liga2:1
  • 09/20/25Vysheyshaya Liga1:3
  • 05/03/25Vysheyshaya Liga1:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Isloch22136337:1845
2Vitebsk21128142:1744
3Dinamo Minsk21134437:1643
4Dinamo Brest23124738:2340
5Gomel23116633:1839
6Neman Grodno22114726:2037
7Vitebsk23106728:2136
8Minsk23104930:2834

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.