All matches

Inter Turku — KuPS, Veikkausliiga

Finland, Veikkausliiga

Inter Turku
3.0WWLWL
—
KuPS
3.1WDDLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
43%26%31%
Inter Turku43%Draw26%KuPS31%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Inter Turku43%2.30—
XDraw26%3.84—
2KuPS31%3.28—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes54%

ours 1.86

No46%

ours 2.17

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricInter TurkuKuPSCombined
Goals scored0.830.671.50
Conceded1.000.331.33
Corners6.69.27.9
Cards1.81.43.2
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Inter TurkuKuPS

FC Inter Turku 43%, Kuopion Palloseura 31%. The safest is “No draw” at 73%.

FC Inter Turku 43%Draw 26%Kuopion Palloseura 31%
1st half
37 · 37 · 26
2nd half
33 · 41 · 26
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Double chance: Home or draw

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Inter Turku

  • awayOulu1:0
  • homeVPS1:0
  • awayHJK1:2
  • homeKuPS1:0
  • awayCopenhagen1:4

KuPS

  • awayVPS2:0
  • homeHJK0:0
  • awayGnistan1:1
  • awayInter Turku0:1
  • homeShamrock Rovers1:0

Head to head

  • 08/31/26Veikkausliiga1:0
  • 05/30/26Veikkausliiga1:1
  • 11/02/25Veikkausliiga2:3
  • 10/05/25Veikkausliiga0:3
  • 08/17/25Veikkausliiga1:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1KuPS25139341:2448
2Inter Turku25139332:1848
3HJK25126739:2942
4Gnistan25118640:3241

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.