Both teams to score
Yes61%
ours 1.63
No39%
ours 2.60
All matches
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FC Ingolstadt 04 — SV Wehen Wiesbaden, 3. Liga
Germany, 3. Liga
FC Ingolstadt 04
LLWLW
SV Wehen Wiesbaden
LWLDD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
46%24%30%
FC Ingolstadt 0446%Draw24%SV Wehen Wiesbaden30%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1FC Ingolstadt 042.18—
XDraw4.13—
2SV Wehen Wiesbaden3.35—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricFC Ingolstadt 04SV Wehen WiesbadenCombined
Goals scored0.830.671.50
Conceded1.501.673.17
Corners11.010.710.8
Cards1.82.84.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
FC Ingolstadt 04SV Wehen Wiesbaden
FC Ingolstadt 04 46%, SV Wehen Wiesbaden 30%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.
FC Ingolstadt 04 46%Draw 24%SV Wehen Wiesbaden 30%
1st half
36 · 35 · 29
2nd half
34 · 34 · 32
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Over 8.5
67%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
FC Ingolstadt 04
- awayFC Viktoria Köln0:3
- homeTSG 1899 Hoffenheim II1:2
- away1. FC Saarbrucken1:0
- homeTSV Alemannia Aachen0:3
- awaySG Sonnenhof Großaspach2:0
SV Wehen Wiesbaden
- homeMSV Duisburg1:4
- awaySC Fortuna Köln2:0
- homeSV Waldhof Mannheim 070:1
- awayFC Hansa Rostock1:1
- homeRot-Weiss Essen0:0
Head to head
- 02/28/263. Liga1:2
- 09/20/253. Liga0:0
- 05/10/253. Liga2:3
- 12/14/243. Liga5:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
12
SC Fortuna Köln72328:89
SC Fortuna Köln72328:8913
SG Sonnenhof Großaspach72236:98
SG Sonnenhof Großaspach72236:9814FC Ingolstadt 0472237:118
FC Ingolstadt 0472237:11815
VfB Stuttgart 1893 II721412:157
VfB Stuttgart 1893 II721412:15716
FC Würzburger Kickers721411:157
FC Würzburger Kickers721411:15717
SV Meppen 191272058:156
SV Meppen 191272058:15618
SSV Jahn 2000 Regensburg712413:175
SSV Jahn 2000 Regensburg712413:17519SV Wehen Wiesbaden71245:135
SV Wehen Wiesbaden71245:13520
TSV Havelse711510:154
TSV Havelse711510:154Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.