All matches

FC Imabari — Consadole Sapporo, J2 League

Japan, J2 League

FC Imabari
WLLWD
—
Consadole Sapporo
WLDDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
43%24%33%
FC Imabari43%Draw24%Consadole Sapporo33%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1FC Imabari43%2.33—
XDraw24%4.12—
2Consadole Sapporo33%3.04—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes60%

ours 1.68

No40%

ours 2.48

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Combos

Three kinds of combos — the most likely combination in each. The most likely of the three is highlighted. Every combination is in the tables below.

Combos come with a subscription: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.

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Confident answers

The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches

Corners

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69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches

Cards

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69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

FC ImabariConsadole Sapporo

FC Imabari 43%, Consadole Sapporo 33%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.

FC Imabari 43%Draw 24%Consadole Sapporo 33%
1st half
36 · 41 · 23
2nd half
34 · 33 · 33
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Over 7.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricFC ImabariConsadole SapporoCombined
Goals scored0.330.330.66
Conceded0.170.170.34
Corners7.019.013.0
Cards1.00.01.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Form and context

FC Imabari

  • awayTochigi City2:1
  • homeShonan Bellmare1:2
  • awayYokohama FC1:2
  • homeSagan Tosu1:0
  • awayOita Trinita1:1

Consadole Sapporo

  • homeIwaki FC2:1
  • awayTegevajaro Miyazaki2:3
  • homeOita Trinita1:1
  • awayVegalta Sendai1:1
  • homeTochigi City1:4

Head to head

  • 11/23/25J2 League1:1
  • 06/15/25J2 League2:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
16Iwaki FC930612:179
17Sagan Tosu92258:128
18Consadole Sapporo922512:188
19FC Imabari92169:187
20Ventforet Kofu92167:177

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.