Both teams to score
Yes53%
ours 1.90
No47%
ours 2.11
All matches
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Iberia 1999 — Mjallby, UEFA Europa Conference League
Europe, UEFA Europa Conference League
Iberia 1999
3.1LWWWL
Mjallby
2.5LDLLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
17%22%61%
Iberia 199917%Draw22%Mjallby61%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Iberia 19996.01—
XDraw4.49—
2Mjallby1.64—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricIberia 1999MjallbyCombined
Goals scored0.830.171.00
Conceded0.500.671.17
Corners8.39.58.9
Cards3.72.56.2
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Iberia 1999Mjallby
FC Iberia 1999 Tbilisi 17%, Mjällby AIF 61%. The safest is “Mjällby AIF or draw” at 83%.
FC Iberia 1999 Tbilisi 17%Draw 22%Mjällby AIF 61%
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 11.5
70%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Iberia 1999
- homeDinamo Tbilisi1:2
- awayRustavi2:0
- homeDila Gori2:1
- homeSpaeri1:0
- awayDinamo Batumi0:2
Mjallby
- homeGAIS0:3
- awayHacken1:1
- homeIFK Goteborg1:4
- homeDjurgarden0:2
- awayDjurgarden0:4
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
Ajax651022:1016
Ajax651022:10162
Nordsjaelland650117:315
Nordsjaelland650117:3153
Partizan650113:515
Partizan650113:5154
Rapid Vienna642019:814
Rapid Vienna642019:8145
Copenhagen642017:614
Copenhagen642017:6146
Lugano642013:514
Lugano642013:5147
Braga64208:014
Braga64208:0148
Riga642012:614
Riga642012:614Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.