All matches

Hradec Kralove — Jablonec, First League

Czech Republic, First League

Hradec Kralove
2.3LWDWL
—
Jablonec
2.5DLWLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
44%26%30%
Hradec Kralove44%Draw26%Jablonec30%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Hradec Kralove44%2.25—
XDraw26%3.91—
2Jablonec30%3.33—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes57%

ours 1.75

No43%

ours 2.34

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricHradec KraloveJablonecCombined
Goals scored0.670.170.84
Conceded0.670.501.17
Corners14.312.013.1
Cards2.31.03.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Hradec KraloveJablonec

FC Hradec Králové 44%, FK Jablonec 30%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.

FC Hradec Králové 44%Draw 26%FK Jablonec 30%
1st half
38 · 36 · 25
2nd half
29 · 39 · 32
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Second half total: Over 0.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Hradec Kralove

  • homeTeplice0:2
  • awayFASTAV Zlin2:1
  • homeViktoria Plzen0:0
  • homeSparta Prague2:1
  • awayZbrojovka Brno0:1

Jablonec

  • homeFASTAV Zlin1:1
  • awaySparta Prague0:2
  • homeBanik Ostrava3:0
  • homeSlovan Liberec1:2
  • awayBohemians 19051:1

Head to head

  • 05/10/26First League1:1
  • 11/29/25First League2:0
  • 08/02/25First League0:2
  • 03/01/25First League1:1
  • 09/28/24First League0:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Zbrojovka Brno951312:1216
7Sparta Prague950418:1215
8Jablonec942311:914
9Hradec Kralove94238:914
10Viktoria Plzen924317:1710
11Banik Ostrava93157:1710

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.