All matches

FC Hansa Rostock — Düsseldorfer TuS Fortuna 1895, 3. Liga

Germany, 3. Liga

FC Hansa Rostock
DWLDW
—
Düsseldorfer TuS Fortuna 1895
1.6LWWDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
51%25%25%
FC Hansa Rostock51%Draw25%Düsseldorfer TuS Fortuna 189525%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1FC Hansa Rostock51%1.98—
XDraw25%4.03—
2Düsseldorfer TuS Fortuna 189525%4.05—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes55%

ours 1.83

No45%

ours 2.20

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricFC Hansa RostockDüsseldorfer TuS Fortuna 1895Combined
Goals scored0.670.671.34
Conceded1.170.501.67
Corners9.79.79.7
Cards3.02.35.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Confident answers

The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches

Corners

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69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches

Cards

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69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

FC Hansa RostockDüsseldorfer TuS Fortuna 1895

FC Hansa Rostock 51%, Düsseldorfer TuS Fortuna 1895 25%. The safest is “No draw” at 73%.

FC Hansa Rostock 51%Draw 25%Düsseldorfer TuS Fortuna 1895 25%
1st half
41 · 38 · 21
2nd half
26 · 40 · 34
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Second half total: Over 0.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

FC Hansa Rostock

  • awayRot-Weiss Essen1:1
  • homeVfB Stuttgart 1893 II3:2
  • awayFC Viktoria Köln0:4
  • homeSV Wehen Wiesbaden1:1
  • away1. FC Saarbrucken4:2

Düsseldorfer TuS Fortuna 1895

  • awayTSV Alemannia Aachen0:1
  • awaySSV Jahn 2000 Regensburg2:1
  • homeMSV Duisburg2:1
  • awaySC Fortuna Köln0:0
  • homeVfB Stuttgart 1893 II1:0

Head to head

No head-to-head matches on record.

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
41. FC Saarbrucken741219:1213
5TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II741214:813
6FC Hansa Rostock733115:1512
7TSV Alemannia Aachen732211:811
8SC Preußen 06 Münster732212:1311
9SV Waldhof Mannheim 07731311:1010
10Düsseldorfer TuS Fortuna 189573136:710
11SC Verl 1924731310:1310
12SC Fortuna Köln72328:89

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.