All matches

Gandzasar Kapan 0:3 Urartu, Premier League

Armenia, Premier LeagueMatch finished

Gandzasar Kapan
0.6LLLLL
0:3HT 0:3
Urartu
2.4WLLDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
12%20%69%
Gandzasar Kapan12%Draw20%Urartu69%

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

1.04xG1.64
49Possession, %51
10Shots15
1Shots on target5
5Corners3
3Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
11Fouls13
4Offsides5

How the forecast did

In each market the forecast is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

3 of 3
Main markets landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast markets: landed 74 of 100
  • Match result Landed
    Urartu69%
  • Total goals Landed
    Over 2.555%
  • Both teams to score Landed
    No53%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes in a market are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Gandzasar Kapan12%8.64—
XDraw20%5.05—
2Urartu69%1.46—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Form and context

Gandzasar Kapan

  • homeUrartu0:3
  • homeArarat Yerevan0:2
  • awayNoah2:3
  • homeBKMA0:3
  • awayAlashkert0:3

Urartu

  • awayGandzasar Kapan3:0
  • homeNoah0:3
  • awayBKMA1:2
  • homeAlashkert1:1
  • awayShirak1:0

Head to head

  • 09/18/26Premier League0:3
  • 04/05/26Premier League2:4
  • 03/06/26Premier League2:2
  • 08/09/25Premier League0:1
  • 03/15/25Premier League1:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Alashkert843118:615
5Sardarapat833214:1212
6Urartu832312:1011
7Shirak831411:1010
8Ararat Yerevan83056:139
9BKMA82248:108
10Van81164:214
11Gandzasar Kapan81078:203
12Syunik80263:172

Full breakdown

Every market of the forecast published before the match.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.