All matches

Dnepr Mogilev — BATE Borisov, Vysheyshaya Liga

Belarus, Vysheyshaya Liga

Dnepr Mogilev
0.8LDLDD
—
BATE Borisov
1.5LDLLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
37%26%37%
Dnepr Mogilev37%Draw26%BATE Borisov37%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Dnepr Mogilev37%2.71—
XDraw26%3.91—
2BATE Borisov37%2.67—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes55%

ours 1.81

No45%

ours 2.24

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricDnepr MogilevBATE BorisovCombined
Goals scored0.670.331.00
Conceded1.171.172.34
Corners12.09.510.8
Cards1.81.33.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Dnepr MogilevBATE Borisov

FC Dnepr Mogilev 37%, FC BATE Borisov 37%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.

FC Dnepr Mogilev 37%Draw 26%FC BATE Borisov 37%
1st half
36 · 41 · 23
2nd half
32 · 36 · 32
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

First half total: Under 1.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Dnepr Mogilev

  • awayDinamo Brest2:4
  • homeVitebsk1:1
  • awayBaranovichi1:2
  • homeIsloch0:0
  • awayTorpedo Zhodino0:0

BATE Borisov

  • awayDinamo Minsk0:2
  • homeNaftan Novopolotsk2:2
  • awayDinamo Brest0:1
  • awayIsloch0:2
  • homeMinsk2:1

Head to head

  • 05/31/26Vysheyshaya Liga1:1
  • 09/01/24Vysheyshaya Liga1:1
  • 04/19/24Vysheyshaya Liga1:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
12Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk23581024:4123
13Belshina Bobruisk22561122:3621
14BATE Borisov22391016:2718
15Dnepr Mogilev232101120:3616
16Naftan Novopolotsk23351520:5414

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.