Both teams to score
Yes54%
ours 1.85
No46%
ours 2.17
All matches
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Caspiy — Kyzyl-Zhar Petropavlovsk, Kazakhstan Premier League
Kazakhstan, Kazakhstan Premier League
Caspiy
1.7WLLWD
Kyzyl-Zhar Petropavlovsk
1.2DLLLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
47%26%26%
Caspiy47%Draw26%Kyzyl-Zhar Petropavlovsk26%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Caspiy2.11—
XDraw3.78—
2Kyzyl-Zhar Petropavlovsk3.82—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricCaspiyKyzyl-Zhar PetropavlovskCombined
Goals scored0.330.330.66
Conceded0.830.831.66
Corners8.310.79.5
Cards1.02.33.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
CaspiyKyzyl-Zhar Petropavlovsk
FC Caspiy 47%, FK Kyzyl-Zhar SK Petropavlovsk 26%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.
FC Caspiy 47%Draw 26%FK Kyzyl-Zhar SK Petropavlovsk 26%
1st half
33 · 42 · 26
2nd half
32 · 39 · 29
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Over 3.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Caspiy
- awayZhetysu Taldykorgan1:0
- homeAktobe1:2
- homeKairat0:3
- homeTobol1:0
- homeYelimay2:2
Kyzyl-Zhar Petropavlovsk
- homeKaisar Kyzylorda1:1
- awayZhenys1:3
- homeAtyrau0:1
- awayOrdabasy0:3
- homeAstana1:1
Head to head
- 03/08/26Kazakhstan Premier League1:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8
Zhenys26881026:3232
Zhenys26881026:32329
Ulytau Zhezkazgan26881024:3232
Ulytau Zhezkazgan26881024:323210Caspiy26851327:3629
Caspiy26851327:362911
Irtysh Pavlodar25681126:3426
Irtysh Pavlodar25681126:342612Kyzyl-Zhar Petropavlovsk26671328:3925
Kyzyl-Zhar Petropavlovsk26671328:392513
Kaisar Kyzylorda264121022:3324
Kaisar Kyzylorda264121022:332414
Atyrau254111018:2823
Atyrau254111018:2823Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.