All matches

Cajamarca 1:2 Cusco, Primera División

Peru, Primera DivisiónMatch finished

Cajamarca
1.6DLWLW
1:2HT 1:2
Cusco
2.6WLWWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
39%22%39%
Cajamarca39%Draw22%Cusco39%

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

2.08xG1.14
53Possession, %47
19Shots11
6Shots on target3
2Corners3
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
12Fouls11
1Offsides3

How the forecast did

In each market the forecast is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

2 of 3
Main markets landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast markets: landed 81 of 99void — 1
  • Match result Missed
    Cajamarca39%

    Actual: Cusco — we had 39%

  • Total goals Landed
    Over 2.570%
  • Both teams to score Landed
    Yes70%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes in a market are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Cajamarca39%2.55—
XDraw22%4.64—
2Cusco39%2.55—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Form and context

Cajamarca

  • awayDeportivo Tarma0:0
  • homeCusco1:2
  • awayLos Chankas2:1
  • homeCienciano2:5
  • awayComerciantes Unidos3:2

Cusco

  • awayCajamarca2:1
  • homeMelgar0:1
  • homeUCV Moquegua2:0
  • awayCienciano2:1
  • awayGarcilaso1:4

Head to head

  • 09/19/26Primera División1:2
  • 04/22/26Primera División0:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Garcilaso28146839:2548
4Melgar28138747:3147
5Cusco271431040:3845
6Cienciano281351048:4044
7Los Chankas28127936:4543
8Alianza Atletico Sullana27117940:3540
9Sporting Cristal271151148:4038
10Sport Boys27108929:2638
11Sport Huancayo281151238:4438
12Juan Pablo II28981143:5335
13Atletico Grau28961326:3133
14Comerciantes Unidos287101136:3931
15Cajamarca28771441:5228
16Deportivo Tarma28681429:4226
17UCV Moquegua28671524:4325

Full breakdown

Every market of the forecast published before the match.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.