Cajamarca 1:2 Cusco, Primera División


Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Match stats
How the match went in numbers.
How the forecast did
In each market the forecast is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.
- Match result MissedCajamarca39%
Actual: Cusco — we had 39%
- Total goals LandedOver 2.570%
- Both teams to score LandedYes70%
The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes in a market are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Form and context
Cajamarca
- awayDeportivo Tarma0:0
- homeCusco1:2
- awayLos Chankas2:1
- homeCienciano2:5
- awayComerciantes Unidos3:2
Cusco
- awayCajamarca2:1
- homeMelgar0:1
- homeUCV Moquegua2:0
- awayCienciano2:1
- awayGarcilaso1:4
Head to head
- 09/19/26Primera División1:2
- 04/22/26Primera División0:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
Full breakdown
Every market of the forecast published before the match.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.
