All matches

BATE Borisov — Slavia-Mozyr, Vysheyshaya Liga

Belarus, Vysheyshaya Liga

BATE Borisov
1.5LDLLW
—
Slavia-Mozyr
2.0LLWLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
37%27%37%
BATE BorisovMarket 2.8037%DrawMarket 3.3827%Slavia-MozyrMarket 2.4037%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1BATE Borisov37%36%2.732.80+0.9
XDraw27%30%3.773.38-3.0
2Slavia-Mozyr37%42%2.712.40-4.9

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes51%

ours 1.96book 1.78

No49%

ours 2.04book 1.93

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricBATE BorisovSlavia-MozyrCombined
Goals scored0.671.001.67
Conceded1.330.672.00
Corners10.710.510.6
Cards1.31.73.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

BATE BorisovSlavia-Mozyr

FC BATE Borisov 37%, FK Slavia-Mozyr 37%. The safest is “No draw” at 73%.

FC BATE Borisov 37%Draw 27%FK Slavia-Mozyr 37%
1st half
30 · 44 · 26
2nd half
32 · 38 · 30

Bookmakers: 2.80 · 3.38 · 2.40

Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total cards: Over 2.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

BATE Borisov

  • awayDinamo Minsk0:2
  • homeNaftan Novopolotsk2:2
  • awayDinamo Brest0:1
  • awayIsloch0:2
  • homeMinsk2:1

Slavia-Mozyr

  • homeNaftan Novopolotsk0:1
  • awayMinsk0:1
  • homeVitebsk3:0
  • awayNeman Grodno0:1
  • homeGomel0:0

Head to head

  • 05/24/26Vysheyshaya Liga1:1
  • 11/09/25Vysheyshaya Liga1:1
  • 06/20/25Vysheyshaya Liga1:1
  • 10/05/24Vysheyshaya Liga3:2
  • 05/17/24Vysheyshaya Liga1:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8Minsk23104930:2834
9Torpedo Zhodino2276928:2927
10Slavia-Mozyr2267923:2625
11Baranovichi23671024:3825
12Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk23581024:4123
13Belshina Bobruisk22561122:3621
14BATE Borisov22391016:2718
15Dnepr Mogilev232101120:3616
16Naftan Novopolotsk23351520:5414

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.