All matches

BATE Borisov — Belshina Bobruisk, Vysheyshaya Liga

Belarus, Vysheyshaya Liga

BATE Borisov
1.5LDLLW
—
Belshina Bobruisk
1.6WDDDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
46%26%28%
BATE Borisov46%Draw26%Belshina Bobruisk28%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1BATE Borisov46%2.19—
XDraw26%3.87—
2Belshina Bobruisk28%3.52—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes54%

ours 1.85

No46%

ours 2.18

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricBATE BorisovBelshina BobruiskCombined
Goals scored0.331.001.33
Conceded0.830.671.50
Corners9.010.59.8
Cards1.01.82.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

BATE BorisovBelshina Bobruisk

FC BATE Borisov 46%, FC Belshina Bobruisk 28%. The safest is “FC BATE Borisov or draw” at 75%.

FC BATE Borisov 46%Draw 26%FC Belshina Bobruisk 28%
1st half
35 · 40 · 25
2nd half
39 · 36 · 25
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total goals: Over 1.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

BATE Borisov

  • awayDinamo Minsk0:2
  • homeNaftan Novopolotsk2:2
  • awayDinamo Brest0:1
  • awayIsloch0:2
  • homeMinsk2:1

Belshina Bobruisk

  • homeMinsk2:0
  • awayVitebsk1:1
  • homeNeman Grodno2:2
  • awayVitebsk1:1
  • awayGomel0:1

Head to head

  • 06/12/26Vysheyshaya Liga1:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
11Baranovichi23671024:3825
12Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk23581024:4123
13Belshina Bobruisk22561122:3621
14BATE Borisov22391016:2718
15Dnepr Mogilev232101120:3616
16Naftan Novopolotsk23351520:5414

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.