Both teams to score
Yes49%
ours 2.04book 2.21
No51%
ours 1.96book 1.61
All matches
—
Barcelona — Getafe, La Liga
Spain, La Liga
Barcelona
4.5WWWWW
Getafe
1.7WLDDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
80%15%
BarcelonaMarket 1.0780%DrawMarket 17.5015%GetafeMarket 45.005%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Barcelona1.251.07-13.6
XDraw6.6217.50+9.4
2Getafe20.8345.00+2.6
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricBarcelonaGetafeCombined
Goals scored4.830.675.50
Conceded1.331.002.33
Corners9.09.09.0
Cards1.33.85.2
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
BarcelonaGetafe
FC Barcelona 80%, Getafe Club de Fútbol 5%. The safest is “FC Barcelona or draw” at 93%.
FC Barcelona 80%Draw 15%Getafe Club de Fútbol 5%
1st half
55 · 34 · 11
2nd half
52 · 33 · 15
Bookmakers: 1.07 · 17.50 · 45.00
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 11.5
66%2.00
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Barcelona
- awaySevilla3:1
- homeRacing Santander7:2
- awayLevante4:2
- homeFeyenoord5:1
- awayValencia5:0
Getafe
- homeMalaga1:0
- awayReal Betis0:1
- homeDeportivo La Coruna1:1
- homeCelta Vigo1:1
- awayOsasuna0:1
Head to head
- 04/25/26La Liga2:0
- 09/21/25La Liga3:0
- 01/18/25La Liga1:1
- 09/25/24La Liga1:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Barcelona770031:721
Barcelona770031:7212
Atletico Madrid751116:716
Atletico Madrid751116:7163
Real Betis75119:716
Real Betis75119:7164
Real Madrid750218:815
Real Madrid750218:8155
Sevilla741210:913
Sevilla741210:9136
Alaves732211:611
Alaves732211:6117
Deportivo La Coruna724110:810
Deportivo La Coruna724110:8108
Real Sociedad73139:1310
Real Sociedad73139:13109
Villarreal722313:128
Villarreal722313:12810
Athletic Bilbao62227:68
Athletic Bilbao62227:6811Getafe72234:78
Getafe72234:7812
Rayo Vallecano722311:168
Rayo Vallecano722311:16813
Osasuna72236:138
Osasuna72236:138Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.