Both teams to score
Yes54%
ours 1.87
No47%
ours 2.15
All matches
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Urartu — Van, Armenian Premier League
Armenia, Armenian Premier League
Urartu
2.5WLLDW
Van
1.6LWLLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
66%21%13%
Urartu66%Draw21%Van13%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Urartu1.52—
XDraw4.78—
2Van7.63—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricUrartuVanCombined
Goals scored1.000.501.50
Conceded1.002.003.00
Corners10.28.69.4
Cards1.80.22.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
UrartuVan
FC Banants 66%, FK Van 13%. The safest is “FC Banants or draw” at 85%.
FC Banants 66%Draw 21%FK Van 13%
1st half
49 · 36 · 15
2nd half
41 · 36 · 23
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 10.5
69%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Urartu
- awayGandzasar Kapan3:0
- homeArtsakh0:3
- awayCSKA Yerevan1:2
- homeAlashkert1:1
- awayShirak1:0
Van
- awayArtsakh0:2
- homeCSKA Yerevan2:1
- awayAlashkert0:4
- homeShirak0:4
- homeGandzasar1:1
Head to head
- 04/26/26Armenian Premier League2:0
- 04/10/26Armenian Premier League2:1
- 08/15/25Armenian Premier League2:0
- 05/28/25Armenian Premier League0:2
- 11/11/24Armenian Premier League1:3
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4
Alashkert843118:615
Alashkert843118:6155
Sardarapat833214:1212
Sardarapat833214:12126Urartu832312:1011
Urartu832312:10117
Shirak831411:1010
Shirak831411:10108
Ararat Yerevan83056:139
Ararat Yerevan83056:1399
CSKA Yerevan82248:108
CSKA Yerevan82248:10810Van81164:214
Van81164:21411
Gandzasar Kapan81078:203
Gandzasar Kapan81078:20312
Gandzasar80263:172
Gandzasar80263:172Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.