Both teams to score
Yes51%
ours 1.95
No49%
ours 2.05
All matches
—
Avan Academy — Gandzasar Kapan, Armenian Premier League
Armenia, Armenian Premier League
Avan Academy
3.3WLWWL
Gandzasar Kapan
0.3LLLLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
85%12%
Avan Academy85%Draw12%Gandzasar Kapan3%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Avan Academy1.18—
XDraw8.47—
2Gandzasar Kapan30.40—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricAvan AcademyGandzasar KapanCombined
Goals scored0.500.330.83
Conceded0.171.331.50
Corners13.09.711.3
Cards2.02.34.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Avan AcademyGandzasar Kapan
FC Avan Academy 85%, FC Gandzasar Kapan 3%. The safest is “FC Avan Academy or draw” at 94%.
FC Avan Academy 85%Draw 12%FC Gandzasar Kapan 3%
1st half
56 · 32 · 12
2nd half
55 · 30 · 15
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Over 2.5
70%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Avan Academy
- awayShirak3:1
- homeSparta Prague1:4
- homeGandzasar3:0
- awayArarat Yerevan1:0
- awayPyunik1:2
Gandzasar Kapan
- homeUrartu0:3
- homeArarat Yerevan0:2
- awayArtsakh2:3
- homeCSKA Yerevan0:3
- awayAlashkert0:3
Head to head
- 08/01/26Armenian Premier League4:3
- 05/27/26Armenian Premier League1:0
- 10/19/25Armenian Premier League1:0
- 10/05/25Armenian Premier League1:0
- 04/25/25Armenian Premier League4:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
Artsakh880021:524
Artsakh880021:5242Avan Academy861117:819
Avan Academy861117:8193
Pyunik853018:818
Pyunik853018:8184
Alashkert843118:615
Alashkert843118:6155
Sardarapat833214:1212
Sardarapat833214:12126
Urartu832312:1011
Urartu832312:10117
Shirak831411:1010
Shirak831411:10108
Ararat Yerevan83056:139
Ararat Yerevan83056:1399
CSKA Yerevan82248:108
CSKA Yerevan82248:10810
Van81164:214
Van81164:21411Gandzasar Kapan81078:203
Gandzasar Kapan81078:20312
Gandzasar80263:172
Gandzasar80263:172Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.