Both teams to score
Yes53%
ours 1.89
No47%
ours 2.12
All matches
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FC Annecy — Montpellier HSC, Ligue 2
France, Ligue 2
FC Annecy
LLWDL
Montpellier HSC
0.7DWLDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
43%27%30%
FC Annecy43%Draw27%Montpellier HSC30%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1FC Annecy2.32—
XDraw3.72—
2Montpellier HSC3.33—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricFC AnnecyMontpellier HSCCombined
Goals scored0.670.501.17
Conceded0.830.671.50
Corners9.39.09.2
Cards2.31.74.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
FC AnnecyMontpellier HSC
FC Annecy 43%, Montpellier HSC 30%. The safest is “No draw” at 73%.
FC Annecy 43%Draw 27%Montpellier HSC 30%
1st half
40 · 40 · 20
2nd half
26 · 40 · 34
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Over 2.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
FC Annecy
- homeDijon FCO1:2
- awayEn Avant Guingamp1:2
- awayGrenoble Foot 382:1
- homeFC Metz1:1
- awayStade de Reims1:3
Montpellier HSC
- awayStade de Reims1:1
- homePau FC1:0
- awayAS Saint-Étienne1:3
- homeUS Boulogne-sur-Mer Côte d'Opale0:0
- awayUS du Littoral de Dunkerque1:0
Head to head
- 04/10/26Ligue 20:0
- 11/07/25Ligue 20:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2
Red Star FC 9374219:714
Red Star FC 9374219:7143
Stade de Reims734015:913
Stade de Reims734015:9134Montpellier HSC73316:512
Montpellier HSC73316:5125
FC Metz724110:710
FC Metz724110:7106
AS Nancy-Lorraine73138:710
AS Nancy-Lorraine73138:7107FC Annecy73139:910
FC Annecy73139:9108
FC Sochaux-Montbéliard72414:510
FC Sochaux-Montbéliard72414:5109
Dijon FCO723210:109
Dijon FCO723210:109Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.