All matches

Admira Wacker — Wacker Innsbruck, 2. Liga

Austria, 2. Liga

Admira Wacker
LWWLW
—
Wacker Innsbruck
DDLWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
42%28%30%
Admira Wacker42%Draw28%Wacker Innsbruck30%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Admira Wacker42%2.40—
XDraw28%3.57—
2Wacker Innsbruck30%3.30—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes47%

ours 2.12

No53%

ours 1.89

Over 2.5 goals

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

Over 9.5 corners

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

Combos: result and total

Two events in one forecast. The model scores them together, from the probability of every scoreline — so the link between them is built in: when the home side is stronger, a win and plenty of goals tend to come together.

Combos come with a subscription: probability, fair odds and the market comparison for all 24 combinations.

Sign up

Combos: result and corners

The result comes from the goals model, corners from the corners model. The link between them is measured on 66,000 played matches: the winning side usually takes fewer corners, because the team chasing the game does the crossing. The market has no ready line for these combinations, so «Market» here is a parlay of two separate bets: the result and the corners total.

Corner combos come with a subscription: probability and fair odds for all 48 combinations.

Sign up

Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricAdmira WackerWacker InnsbruckCombined
Goals scored0.670.671.34
Conceded0.830.831.66
Corners11.810.010.9
Cards1.52.03.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Confident answers

The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches

Corners

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches

Cards

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Admira WackerWacker Innsbruck

FC Admira Wacker Mödling 42%, FC Wacker Innsbruck 30%. The safest is “No draw” at 72%.

FC Admira Wacker Mödling 42%Draw 28%FC Wacker Innsbruck 30%
1st half
35 · 38 · 27
2nd half
30 · 46 · 23
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Second half total: Under 1.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

Admira Wacker

  • awayFC Blau-Weiß Linz0:3
  • homeKapfenberg1:0
  • awayWels3:1
  • homeFirst Vienna0:1
  • awaySturm Graz II2:0

Wacker Innsbruck

  • awaySturm Graz II2:2
  • homeVoitsberg1:1
  • awayFloridsdorfer AC0:2
  • homeSt. Polten1:0
  • awayKapfenberg1:0

Head to head

No head-to-head matches on record.

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Amstetten733114:1112
5Austria Wien II740313:1112
6Wacker Innsbruck732210:811
7Austria Salzburg731314:1210
8Liefering731314:1510
9Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz731311:1210
10St. Polten73046:69
11Admira Wacker73047:89
12Voitsberg723210:129
13Sturm Graz II722315:188

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.