Both teams to score
Yes60%
ours 1.66
No40%
ours 2.52
All matches
—
Étoile Carouge FC — SC Kriens, Challenge League
Switzerland, Challenge League
Étoile Carouge FC
LLDLW
SC Kriens
WDLDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
38%25%37%
Étoile Carouge FC38%Draw25%SC Kriens37%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Étoile Carouge FC2.65—
XDraw3.95—
2SC Kriens2.71—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricÉtoile Carouge FCSC KriensCombined
Goals scored0.331.171.50
Conceded1.501.002.50
Corners10.810.310.5
Cards1.53.34.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Étoile Carouge FCSC Kriens
Étoile Carouge FC 38%, SC Kriens 37%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.
Étoile Carouge FC 38%Draw 25%SC Kriens 37%
1st half
37 · 37 · 26
2nd half
27 · 37 · 36
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Under 4.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Étoile Carouge FC
- awaySC Kriens1:4
- homeFC Winterthur0:1
- homeFC Wil 19001:1
- awayFC Stade Lausanne-Ouchy0:3
- homeFC Rapperswil-Jona2:1
SC Kriens
- homeÉtoile Carouge FC4:1
- awayFC Aarau2:2
- homeFC Stade Lausanne-Ouchy0:2
- awayFC Rapperswil-Jona1:1
- homeFC Stade Nyonnais3:0
Head to head
- 09/18/26Challenge League1:4
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2
FC Winterthur953119:818
FC Winterthur953119:8183
Yverdon Sport FC944114:916
Yverdon Sport FC944114:9164SC Kriens942316:1114
SC Kriens942316:11145
FC Aarau933314:1612
FC Aarau933314:16126
Neuchâtel Xamax FCS940512:1712
Neuchâtel Xamax FCS940512:17127
FC Rapperswil-Jona931515:1610
FC Rapperswil-Jona931515:16108Étoile Carouge FC92348:129
Étoile Carouge FC92348:1299
FC Wil 1900923415:219
FC Wil 1900923415:21910
FC Stade Nyonnais90276:232
FC Stade Nyonnais90276:232Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.