All matches

ETO Gyor — Ujpest, NB I

Hungary, NB I

ETO Gyor
3.1WWLDW
—
Ujpest
1.8WDWLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
58%24%18%
ETO Gyor58%Draw24%Ujpest18%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1ETO Gyor58%1.73—
XDraw24%4.21—
2Ujpest18%5.41—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes61%

ours 1.65

No39%

ours 2.54

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricETO GyorUjpestCombined
Goals scored1.001.172.17
Conceded1.171.002.17
Corners11.06.08.5
Cards2.32.04.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

ETO GyorUjpest

ETO FC 58%, Újpest FC 18%. The safest is “ETO FC or draw” at 77%.

ETO FC 58%Draw 24%Újpest FC 18%
1st half
40 · 40 · 20
2nd half
39 · 34 · 27
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Under 11.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

ETO Gyor

  • awayMTK Budapest2:1
  • homeKispest-Honved3:2
  • homeFerencvaros0:3
  • awayKisvarda1:1
  • homeZalaegerszeg3:0

Ujpest

  • homeZalaegerszeg2:1
  • awayFerencvaros2:2
  • homeVasas3:1
  • awayPaks0:2
  • homeMTK Budapest1:1

Head to head

  • 02/28/26NB I2:1
  • 11/08/25NB I3:0
  • 08/03/25NB I1:1
  • 05/03/25NB I3:2
  • 02/08/25NB I3:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1ETO Gyor843116:1015
2Puskas Akademia850313:1015
3Vasas842217:1114
4Ujpest842217:1314
5Ferencvaros733111:812
6Paks832316:1711

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.