All matches

ETO Gyor — Puskas Akademia, NB I

Hungary, NB I

ETO Gyor
3.1WWLDW
—
Puskas Akademia
2.5WLLWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
53%25%22%
ETO GyorMarket 2.1953%DrawMarket 3.4625%Puskas AkademiaMarket 2.7722%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1ETO Gyor53%46%1.882.19+7.5
XDraw25%29%3.943.46-3.5
2Puskas Akademia22%36%4.652.77-14.6

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes57%

ours 1.75book 1.44

No43%

ours 2.34book 2.55

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricETO GyorPuskas AkademiaCombined
Goals scored1.671.833.50
Conceded1.331.332.66
Corners11.810.711.3
Cards2.32.54.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

ETO GyorPuskas Akademia

ETO FC 53%, Puskás Ferenc Akadémia FC 21%. The safest is “ETO FC or draw” at 75%.

ETO FC 53%Draw 25%Puskás Ferenc Akadémia FC 21%
1st half
38 · 41 · 21
2nd half
36 · 36 · 27

Bookmakers: 2.19 · 3.46 · 2.77

Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total goals: Under 3.5

70%1.54
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

ETO Gyor

  • awayMTK Budapest2:1
  • homeKispest-Honved3:2
  • homeFerencvaros0:3
  • awayKisvarda1:1
  • homeZalaegerszeg3:0

Puskas Akademia

  • homeKispest-Honved3:1
  • awayZalaegerszeg0:1
  • homeFerencvaros1:2
  • awayVasas1:0
  • homePaks3:2

Head to head

  • 04/10/26NB I4:1
  • 12/20/25NB I2:0
  • 09/20/25NB I2:0
  • 04/12/25NB I2:0
  • 12/07/24NB I3:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1ETO Gyor843116:1015
2Puskas Akademia850313:1015
3Vasas842217:1114
4Ujpest842217:1314

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.