Both teams to score
Yes56%
ours 1.79
No44%
ours 2.26
All matches
—
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto — Gimnasia La Plata, Primera División
Argentina, Primera División
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
1.1LLLDD
Gimnasia La Plata
2.1DDDWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
33%26%41%
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto33%Draw26%Gimnasia La Plata41%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Estudiantes de Río Cuarto3.08—
XDraw3.79—
2Gimnasia La Plata2.43—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricEstudiantes de Río CuartoGimnasia La PlataCombined
Goals scored0.330.671.00
Conceded0.670.671.34
Corners14.08.011.0
Cards2.02.34.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Estudiantes de Río CuartoGimnasia La Plata
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 32%, Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata 41%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 32%Draw 26%Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata 41%
1st half
28 · 39 · 34
2nd half
32 · 39 · 28
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Second half total: Over 0.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
- homeRacing Club1:2
- awayBelgrano de Cordoba1:2
- homeSarmiento0:2
- awayHuracan1:1
- homeSan Lorenzo de Almagro0:0
Gimnasia La Plata
- awayIndependiente Rivadavia1:1
- homeBanfield2:2
- awayArgentinos Juniors1:1
- homeTigre2:1
- awayRosario Central2:1
Head to head
- 04/18/26Primera División0:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6
River Plate301541142:2949
River Plate301541142:29497
Velez Sarsfield281213335:2449
Velez Sarsfield281213335:24498Gimnasia La Plata291451036:3747
Gimnasia La Plata291451036:37479
Estudiantes281351032:1944
Estudiantes281351032:194410
Huracan291111731:2444
Huracan291111731:244411
Instituto Córdoba26134932:2443
Instituto Córdoba26134932:244312
Independiente28118936:3541
Independiente28118936:354113
Defensa y Justicia271010734:3240
Defensa y Justicia271010734:324014
Lanus27108928:2638
Lanus27108928:263815
Union de Santa Fe291071243:4237
Union de Santa Fe291071243:423716
Gimnasia Mendoza271061128:3436
Gimnasia Mendoza271061128:343617
Barracas Central2698922:2335
Barracas Central2698922:233518
Racing Club29981232:3435
Racing Club29981232:343519
Sarmiento261121330:3635
Sarmiento261121330:363520
Talleres de Cordoba28971228:3234
Talleres de Cordoba28971228:323421
San Lorenzo de Almagro288101020:2734
San Lorenzo de Almagro288101020:273422
Tigre27711928:2632
Tigre27711928:263223
Newell's Old Boys27711926:3532
Newell's Old Boys27711926:353224
Tucuman27691224:2927
Tucuman27691224:292725
Banfield26761328:3527
Banfield26761328:352726
Platense275111121:3226
Platense275111121:322627
Central Córdoba de Santiago del Estero27671419:3525
Central Córdoba de Santiago del Estero27671419:352528
Riestra263131014:2022
Riestra263131014:202229
Aldosivi272101518:3616
Aldosivi272101518:361630Estudiantes de Río Cuarto26251910:3711
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto26251910:3711Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.