All matches

Empoli FC — SS Juve Stabia, Serie B

Italy, Serie B

Empoli FC
1.2LLWLW
—
SS Juve Stabia
DDLWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
40%28%32%
Empoli FC40%Draw28%SS Juve Stabia32%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Empoli FC40%2.50—
XDraw28%3.53—
2SS Juve Stabia32%3.16—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes55%

ours 1.81

No45%

ours 2.23

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricEmpoli FCSS Juve StabiaCombined
Goals scored0.170.330.50
Conceded0.500.330.83
Corners6.010.58.3
Cards1.50.01.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Confident answers

The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches

Corners

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69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches

Cards

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69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Empoli FCSS Juve Stabia

Empoli FC 40%, SS Juve Stabia 32%. The safest is “No draw” at 73%.

Empoli FC 40%Draw 28%SS Juve Stabia 32%
1st half
32 · 43 · 25
2nd half
33 · 37 · 31
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Over 7.5

69%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

Empoli FC

  • awayModena FC1:2
  • homeUnione Sportiva Arezzo0:1
  • awayCarrarese Calcio1:0
  • awayMantova FC1:3
  • homeUS Cremonese1:0

SS Juve Stabia

  • homeAC Cesena1:1
  • awayVicenza Calcio1:1
  • homeAC Pisa 19090:3
  • awayUC Sampdoria2:1
  • awayUS Città di Palermo0:1

Head to head

  • 02/11/26Serie B1:2
  • 12/13/25Serie B0:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
10AC Pisa 190952128:87
11Calcio Padova Spa52125:67
12Empoli FC52034:66
13Unione Sportiva Arezzo52036:136
14ACD Virtus Entella51227:65
15US Cremonese51225:75
16Vicenza Calcio51227:105
17SS Juve Stabia51224:75
18UC Sampdoria51135:94
19Catanzaro Calcio 201151045:93

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.