All matches

Egersunds IK — Strømmen IF, First Division

Norway, First Division

Egersunds IK
LLDDD
—
Strømmen IF
DLDWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
46%24%30%
Egersunds IK46%Draw24%Strømmen IF30%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Egersunds IK46%2.17—
XDraw24%4.15—
2Strømmen IF30%3.35—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes62%

ours 1.61

No38%

ours 2.63

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricEgersunds IKStrømmen IFCombined
Goals scored0.170.831.00
Conceded1.671.172.84
Corners10.016.013.0
Cards3.02.05.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Confident answers

The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches

Corners

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69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches

Cards

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69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Egersunds IKStrømmen IF

Egersunds IK 46%, Strømmen IF 30%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.

Egersunds IK 46%Draw 24%Strømmen IF 30%
1st half
39 · 35 · 26
2nd half
34 · 33 · 33
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Over 7.5

68%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

Egersunds IK

  • awayRanheim Fotball0:5
  • awayOdds1:5
  • homeKongsvinger IL1:1
  • awayFC Lyn Oslo1:1
  • homeÅsane Fotball2:2

Strømmen IF

  • homeSandnes Ulf3:3
  • awayHaugesund2:4
  • awaySogndal Fotball1:1
  • homeBryne FK2:0
  • awayMoss FK2:1

Head to head

  • 04/11/26First Division3:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7IL Hødd241041040:4834
8Ranheim Fotball24941161:5831
9Egersunds IK24851136:4929
10FC Lyn Oslo24841239:4928
11Strømmen IF24751238:5526
12Sandnes Ulf24741335:4525
13Moss FK24741338:5425

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.