Both teams to score
Yes55%
ours 1.82
No45%
ours 2.22
All matches
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Düsseldorfer TuS Fortuna 1895 — SC Verl 1924, 3. Liga
Germany, 3. Liga
Düsseldorfer TuS Fortuna 1895
1.6LWWDW
SC Verl 1924
WDWWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
39%26%36%
Düsseldorfer TuS Fortuna 189539%Draw26%SC Verl 192436%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Düsseldorfer TuS Fortuna 18952.58—
XDraw3.91—
2SC Verl 19242.80—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricDüsseldorfer TuS Fortuna 1895SC Verl 1924Combined
Goals scored0.831.502.33
Conceded0.831.502.33
Corners10.010.310.2
Cards2.02.34.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Düsseldorfer TuS Fortuna 1895SC Verl 1924
Düsseldorfer TuS Fortuna 1895 39%, SC Verl 1924 36%. The safest is “No draw” at 73%.
Düsseldorfer TuS Fortuna 1895 39%Draw 26%SC Verl 1924 36%
1st half
30 · 39 · 32
2nd half
37 · 39 · 23
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Over 1.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Düsseldorfer TuS Fortuna 1895
- awayTSV Alemannia Aachen0:1
- awaySSV Jahn 2000 Regensburg2:1
- homeMSV Duisburg2:1
- awaySC Fortuna Köln0:0
- homeVfB Stuttgart 1893 II1:0
SC Verl 1924
- homeFC Würzburger Kickers2:1
- awaySG Sonnenhof Großaspach1:1
- homeSV Meppen 19122:1
- awaySV Waldhof Mannheim 071:0
- homeSC Fortuna Köln1:2
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8
SC Preußen 06 Münster732212:1311
SC Preußen 06 Münster732212:13119
SV Waldhof Mannheim 07731311:1010
SV Waldhof Mannheim 07731311:101010Düsseldorfer TuS Fortuna 189573136:710
Düsseldorfer TuS Fortuna 189573136:71011SC Verl 1924731310:1310
SC Verl 1924731310:131012
SC Fortuna Köln72328:89
SC Fortuna Köln72328:8913
SG Sonnenhof Großaspach72236:98
SG Sonnenhof Großaspach72236:98Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.