Both teams to score
Yes60%
ours 1.66
No40%
ours 2.52
All matches
—
Dundee — Kilmarnock, Premiership
Scotland, Premiership
Dundee
1.4WLDLW
Kilmarnock
1.2DWDLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
48%24%27%
Dundee48%Draw24%Kilmarnock27%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Dundee2.07—
XDraw4.09—
2Kilmarnock3.68—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricDundeeKilmarnockCombined
Goals scored0.670.331.00
Conceded0.670.170.84
Corners13.714.314.0
Cards1.32.03.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
DundeeKilmarnock
Dundee FC 48%, Kilmarnock FC 27%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.
Dundee FC 48%Draw 24%Kilmarnock FC 27%
1st half
41 · 34 · 25
2nd half
34 · 36 · 29
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 11.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Dundee
- homeMotherwell2:1
- awayHearts1:2
- homeSaint Johnstone1:1
- homeHibernian1:2
- awayDundee United2:0
Kilmarnock
- homeHearts1:1
- awayHibernian1:0
- awayAberdeen0:0
- homeSt. Mirren0:1
- homeDundee United0:4
Head to head
- 05/12/26Premiership1:3
- 04/11/26Premiership2:2
- 12/30/25Premiership2:1
- 08/23/25Premiership0:0
- 05/10/25Premiership2:3
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2
Rangers75118:416
Rangers75118:4163
Hearts741214:813
Hearts741214:8134Dundee73139:710
Dundee73139:7105
St. Mirren73138:910
St. Mirren73138:9106
Saint Johnstone72239:108
Saint Johnstone72239:1087
Aberdeen72237:88
Aberdeen72237:888
Dundee United72239:118
Dundee United72239:1189
Motherwell72239:118
Motherwell72239:11810
Hibernian72148:117
Hibernian72148:11711
Falkirk71336:96
Falkirk71336:9612Kilmarnock71246:155
Kilmarnock71246:155Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.